Don Benito vs Atlético Central prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Don Benito or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Don Benito to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDon Benito to win ✓58% · @1.91
Double chanceDon Benito or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Don Benito vs Atlético Central preview and prediction
The match
Atlético Central travel to face Don Benito in the Segunda División RFEF Group 4 on Sunday 18 October (16:00 WAT). Don Benito are 2nd with 20 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Atlético Central sit 9th on 15 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Don Benito's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Ciudad de Lucena 2–4 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atlético Central's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Estepona 2–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Don Benito arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Don Benito and 1.0 for Atlético Central. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Don Benito 58%, draw 24%, Atlético Central 19%.
Safer route: Don Benito or draw (81%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Don Benito to win at 1.91 – 58% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Don Benito or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Don Benito 1–1 Atlético Central. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Don Benito58%fair 1.74 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.00
Atlético Central19%fair 5.36 · @3.90
3.00Expected goals
1.96Don Benito xG
1.04Atlético Central xG
55%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Don Benito 2.0 – 1.0 Atlético Central expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Don Benito to win✓
58%
1.74
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Don Benito or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Don Benito ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Don Benito / FT Don Benito✓
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Form
Don Benito – last 6
LLWDWW
11 Oct
@ Ciudad de Lucena
2–4
L
3 Oct
@ Estepona
1–3
L
26 Sep
vs Sanluqueño
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Xerez
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Las Palmas II
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Antoniano
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Atlético Central – last 6
LLWLLW
11 Oct
@ Estepona
2–3
L
4 Oct
vs Linares Deportivo
0–1
L
27 Sep
vs Sevilla Atletico
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Marbella
1–4
L
13 Sep
@ Tenerife II
1–3
L
6 Sep
vs Recreativo Huelva
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Don Benito and Atlético Central.
What is the prediction for Don Benito vs Atlético Central?
Our pick is Don Benito or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Don Benito vs Atlético Central?
On our numbers Don Benito have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atlético Central 19%.
How many goals will there be in Don Benito vs Atlético Central?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Don Benito vs Atlético Central?
Our predicted score is Don Benito 1–1 Atlético Central, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Don Benito vs Atlético Central?
Don Benito vs Atlético Central (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
