Segunda División RFEF Group 4 · SpainBadajoz vs Sanluqueño prediction & analysis
Badajoz to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Badajoz 2.0 – 0.7 Sanluqueño expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Badajoz are clear favourites at home with a 67% chance of winning, against 11% for Sanluqueño.
Badajoz have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.8 per game. Sanluqueño have 7 points from their last 6 (1W 4D 1L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded. Badajoz come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.7 goals (2.0 for Badajoz, 0.7 for Sanluqueño). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (14%), 1–1 (9%).
Our pick is Badajoz to win at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.67 is better than our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Badajoz to win ✓ | 67% | 1.49 | 1.67 ▲ |
| Double chance | Badajoz or draw ✓ | 89% | 1.13 | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 54% | 1.84 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 75% | 1.34 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Half-time result | Badajoz ahead at half-time ✓ | 48% | 2.09 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Badajoz / FT Badajoz ✓ | 44% | 2.29 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✓ | 14% | 7.31 | – |
Form
Badajoz – last 6
| 11 Oct | vs Marbella | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | @ Sevilla Atletico | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Sep | @ Las Palmas II | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | vs Real Betis II | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Xerez | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Tenerife II | 2–1 | W |
Sanluqueño – last 6
| 11 Oct | vs Recreativo Huelva | 3–3 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Mijas Las Lagunas | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Sep | @ Don Benito | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Sevilla Atletico | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Tamaraceite | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Marbella | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Badajoz and Sanluqueño.
Segunda División RFEF Group 4 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Recreativo Huelva | 10 | +13 | 21 |
| 2 |  Don Benito | 10 | +5 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ciudad de Lucena | 10 | +7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Badajoz | 10 | +3 | 17 |
| 5 |  Real Betis II | 9 | +5 | 15 |
| 6 |  Xerez | 10 | +5 | 15 |
| 7 |  Mijas Las Lagunas | 10 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Estepona | 10 | +3 | 15 |
| 9 |  Atlético Central | 10 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 |  Sevilla Atletico | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 |  Linares Deportivo | 10 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 |  Puente Genil | 10 | +1 | 12 |
| 13 |  Sanluqueño | 10 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 |  Tenerife II | 9 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |  Marbella | 10 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 |  Antoniano | 10 | -9 | 6 |
| 17 |  Tamaraceite | 10 | -15 | 6 |
| 18 |  Las Palmas II | 10 | -13 | 5 |
More Segunda División RFEF Group 4 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Badajoz vs Sanluqueño?
Our pick is Badajoz to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Badajoz vs Sanluqueño?
On our numbers Badajoz have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sanluqueño 11%.
How many goals will there be in Badajoz vs Sanluqueño?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Badajoz vs Sanluqueño?
Badajoz vs Sanluqueño (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.