Estepona vs Atlético Central prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Estepona to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultEstepona to win ✓60% · @1.75
Double chanceEstepona or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.52
Estepona vs Atlético Central preview and prediction
The match
Estepona host Atlético Central in the Segunda División RFEF Group 4 on Sunday 11 October, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT). Estepona are 8th with 15 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Atlético Central sit 9th on 15 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Estepona's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Don Benito 3–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Atlético Central's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Linares Deportivo 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Estepona and 0.9 for Atlético Central. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Estepona 60%, draw 25%, Atlético Central 15%.
Safer route: Estepona or draw (85%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Estepona to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Estepona 1–0 Atlético Central. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Estepona60%fair 1.65 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.20
Atlético Central15%fair 6.85 · @4.40
2.80Expected goals
1.93Estepona xG
0.87Atlético Central xG
51%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Estepona 1.9 – 0.9 Atlético Central expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estepona to win✓
60%
1.65
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Estepona or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Estepona ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estepona / FT Estepona✗
39%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.52
–
Form
Estepona – last 6
WLWLDD
3 Oct
vs Don Benito
3–1
W
27 Sep
@ Tenerife II
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Puente Genil
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs Linares Deportivo
1–4
L
5 Sep
vs Xerez
0–0
D
3 May
@ Yeclano
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Atlético Central – last 6
LWLLWD
4 Oct
vs Linares Deportivo
0–1
L
27 Sep
vs Sevilla Atletico
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Marbella
1–4
L
13 Sep
@ Tenerife II
1–3
L
6 Sep
vs Recreativo Huelva
2–0
W
20 Jun
@ Caudal
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estepona and Atlético Central.
What is the prediction for Estepona vs Atlético Central?
Our pick is Estepona to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Estepona vs Atlético Central?
On our numbers Estepona have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Atlético Central 15%.
How many goals will there be in Estepona vs Atlético Central?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estepona vs Atlético Central?
Our predicted score is Estepona 1–0 Atlético Central, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Estepona vs Atlético Central?
Estepona vs Atlético Central (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
