Segunda División RFEF Group 4 · SpainPuente Genil vs Tamaraceite prediction & analysis
Puente Genil or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Puente Genil to win @ 1.83 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Puente Genil 1.7 – 0.8 Tamaraceite expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Puente Genil hold the edge on home soil with a 59% chance of winning, against 20% for Tamaraceite.
Puente Genil have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.0 per game. Tamaraceite have 3 points from their last 6 (1W 0D 5L), averaging 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.7 for Puente Genil, 0.8 for Tamaraceite). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 46%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (11%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Puente Genil or draw at a 80% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.26. For a bigger price, Puente Genil to win at 1.83 is our value angle (59% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Puente Genil to win ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.83 ▲ |
| Double chance | Puente Genil or draw ✓ | 80% | 1.26 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 71% | 1.41 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.82 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.32 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Puente Genil / FT Puente Genil ✓ | 35% | 2.85 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✓ | 14% | 7.23 | – |
Form
Puente Genil – last 6
| 4 Oct | @ Ciudad de Lucena | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Marbella | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Estepona | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Recreativo Huelva | 1–2 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Mijas Las Lagunas | 4–0 | W |
| 3 May | @ La Unión Atlético | 0–1 | L |
Tamaraceite – last 6
| 4 Oct | vs Antoniano | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ Mijas Las Lagunas | 2–6 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Recreativo Huelva | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Sanluqueño | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Sevilla Atletico | 0–1 | L |
| 4 Aug | @ Tenerife | 2–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Puente Genil and Tamaraceite.
Segunda División RFEF Group 4 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Recreativo Huelva | 10 | +13 | 21 |
| 2 |  Don Benito | 10 | +5 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ciudad de Lucena | 10 | +7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Badajoz | 10 | +3 | 17 |
| 5 |  Real Betis II | 9 | +5 | 15 |
| 6 |  Xerez | 10 | +5 | 15 |
| 7 |  Mijas Las Lagunas | 10 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Estepona | 10 | +3 | 15 |
| 9 |  Atlético Central | 10 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 |  Sevilla Atletico | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 |  Linares Deportivo | 10 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 |  Puente Genil | 10 | +1 | 12 |
| 13 |  Sanluqueño | 10 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 |  Tenerife II | 9 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |  Marbella | 10 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 |  Antoniano | 10 | -9 | 6 |
| 17 |  Tamaraceite | 10 | -15 | 6 |
| 18 |  Las Palmas II | 10 | -13 | 5 |
More Segunda División RFEF Group 4 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Puente Genil vs Tamaraceite?
Our pick is Puente Genil or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Puente Genil vs Tamaraceite?
On our numbers Puente Genil have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tamaraceite 20%.
How many goals will there be in Puente Genil vs Tamaraceite?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
When is Puente Genil vs Tamaraceite?
Puente Genil vs Tamaraceite (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.