Ciudad de Lucena vs Puente Genil prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Ciudad de Lucena or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCiudad de Lucena to win ✓57% · @1.85
Double chanceCiudad de Lucena or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.05
Ciudad de Lucena vs Puente Genil preview and prediction
The match
Puente Genil travel to face Ciudad de Lucena in the Segunda División RFEF Group 4 on Sunday 4 October (18:00 WAT). Ciudad de Lucena are 3rd with 19 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Puente Genil sit 12th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Ciudad de Lucena's last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat Antoniano 3–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Puente Genil's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Marbella 0–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Ciudad de Lucena and 0.8 for Puente Genil. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ciudad de Lucena 57%, draw 23%, Puente Genil 20%.
Safer route: Ciudad de Lucena or draw (80%) at 1.22.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ciudad de Lucena or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Ciudad de Lucena 1–0 Puente Genil. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ciudad de Lucena57%fair 1.76 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.25
Puente Genil20%fair 4.92 · @3.70
2.42Expected goals
1.60Ciudad de Lucena xG
0.82Puente Genil xG
44%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Ciudad de Lucena 1.6 – 0.8 Puente Genil expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ciudad de Lucena to win✓
57%
1.76
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Ciudad de Lucena or draw✓
80%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ciudad de Lucena / FT Ciudad de Lucena✓
34%
2.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.05
–
Form
Ciudad de Lucena – last 6
WLDDWL
27 Sep
@ Antoniano
3–0
W
20 Sep
vs Tenerife II
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Mijas Las Lagunas
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Linares Deportivo
1–1
D
10 May
vs Dos Hermanas
2–1
W
3 May
@ Cádiz II
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Puente Genil – last 6
DLLWLW
27 Sep
vs Marbella
0–0
D
19 Sep
vs Estepona
0–2
L
13 Sep
@ Recreativo Huelva
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Mijas Las Lagunas
4–0
W
3 May
@ La Unión Atlético
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Málaga II
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ciudad de Lucena and Puente Genil.
What is the prediction for Ciudad de Lucena vs Puente Genil?
Our pick is Ciudad de Lucena or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ciudad de Lucena vs Puente Genil?
On our numbers Ciudad de Lucena have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Puente Genil 20%.
How many goals will there be in Ciudad de Lucena vs Puente Genil?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ciudad de Lucena vs Puente Genil?
Our predicted score is Ciudad de Lucena 1–0 Puente Genil, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Ciudad de Lucena vs Puente Genil?
Ciudad de Lucena vs Puente Genil (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
