Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPortugalete to win ✗60% · @1.67
Double chancePortugalete or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.54
Portugalete vs Arosa preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División RFEF Group 1 sees Portugalete take on Arosa on Sunday 1 November, kicking off at 11:30 (WAT). Portugalete are 6th with 16 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Arosa sit 15th on 8 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Portugalete's last 5: DDWLL Most recently they drew with Basconia 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Arosa's last 5: WLWDD Most recently they beat Pontevedra 2–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Portugalete and 1.0 for Arosa. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 57%.
Our pre-match pick was Portugalete to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Portugalete 1–0 Arosa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Portugalete60%fair 1.66 · @1.67
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.50
Arosa16%fair 6.08 · @4.40
2.94Expected goals
1.98Portugalete xG
0.96Arosa xG
57%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–010%
2–010%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Portugalete 2.0 – 1.0 Arosa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portugalete to win✗
60%
1.66
1.67
Double chance
Portugalete or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Portugalete ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portugalete / FT Portugalete✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.54
–
Form
Portugalete – last 6
DDWLLW
25 Oct
@ Basconia
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs Eibar II
0–0
D
10 Oct
@ Amorebieta
2–1
W
3 Oct
vs Deportivo Alavés II
0–2
L
27 Sep
@ Bergantiños
2–3
L
19 Sep
vs Coruxo
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Arosa – last 6
WLWDDL
27 Oct
vs Pontevedra
2–0
W
24 Oct
@ Sestao River
0–1
L
18 Oct
vs Llanera
4–1
W
11 Oct
vs Bergantiños
2–2
D
4 Oct
@ Ourense CF
0–0
D
27 Sep
vs Deportivo Alavés II
2–5
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portugalete and Arosa.
Our pick is Portugalete to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Portugalete vs Arosa?
On our numbers Portugalete have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Arosa 16%.
How many goals will there be in Portugalete vs Arosa?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portugalete vs Arosa?
Our predicted score is Portugalete 1–0 Arosa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Portugalete vs Arosa?
Portugalete vs Arosa (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
