Value bet: Sestao River to win @ 2.30 – our chance 49% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSestao River to win ✓49% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.73
Coruxo vs Sestao River preview and prediction
The match
Sestao River travel to face Coruxo in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 1 November (17:00 WAT). Coruxo are 14th with 9 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Sestao River sit 1st on 25 points (top of the table). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Coruxo's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Zamora 0–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Sestao River's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Espanyol 2–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sestao River arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.7 for Coruxo and 1.1 for Sestao River. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Coruxo 27%, draw 24%, Sestao River 49%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Sestao River to win at 2.30 – 49% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.92, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Coruxo 1–1 Sestao River. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Coruxo27%fair 3.70 · @3.10
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @2.75
Sestao River49%fair 2.05 · @2.30
1.88Expected goals
0.74Coruxo xG
1.14Sestao River xG
52%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–015%
1–113%
1–011%
0–210%
1–27%
From our goals model: Coruxo 0.7 – 1.1 Sestao River expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sestao River to win✓
49%
2.05
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.40 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sestao River / FT Sestao River✗
26%
3.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.73
–
Form
Coruxo – last 6
LLWLLD
29 Oct
vs Zamora
0–2
L
24 Oct
@ Amorebieta
1–2
L
17 Oct
@ Ourense CF
1–0
W
11 Oct
vs Compostela
0–1
L
4 Oct
@ Bergantiños
1–3
L
27 Sep
vs Gernika
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sestao River – last 6
DWWWDW
27 Oct
vs Espanyol
2–2
D
24 Oct
vs Arosa
1–0
W
18 Oct
@ Marino de Luanco
1–0
W
14 Oct
vs Salamanca UDS
3–1
W
10 Oct
vs Gimnástica Torrelavega
0–0
D
4 Oct
@ Gernika
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Coruxo and Sestao River.
What is the prediction for Coruxo vs Sestao River?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Coruxo vs Sestao River?
On our numbers Coruxo have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sestao River 49%.
How many goals will there be in Coruxo vs Sestao River?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Coruxo vs Sestao River?
Our predicted score is Coruxo 1–1 Sestao River, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Coruxo vs Sestao River?
Coruxo vs Sestao River (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
