Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Compostela to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCompostela to win ✗56% · @1.91
Double chanceCompostela or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.56
Compostela vs Basconia preview and prediction
The match
Basconia travel to face Compostela in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 1 November (17:00 WAT). Compostela are 5th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Basconia sit 9th on 14 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Compostela's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Llanera 3–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Basconia's last 5: DLDDW Most recently they drew with Portugalete 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Compostela arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Compostela and 1.0 for Basconia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Compostela to win at 1.91 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Compostela or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Compostela 1–1 Basconia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Compostela56%fair 1.78 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.20
Basconia19%fair 5.16 · @3.60
2.88Expected goals
1.86Compostela xG
1.02Basconia xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Compostela 1.9 – 1.0 Basconia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Compostela to win✗
56%
1.78
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Compostela or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Compostela ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Compostela / FT Compostela✗
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.56
–
Form
Compostela – last 6
WWWLLW
24 Oct
@ Llanera
3–1
W
17 Oct
vs Atlético Astorga
4–1
W
11 Oct
@ Coruxo
1–0
W
4 Oct
vs Real Oviedo II
1–2
L
27 Sep
@ Eibar II
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs Sestao River
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Basconia – last 6
DLDDWD
25 Oct
vs Portugalete
2–2
D
17 Oct
@ Racing Santander II
1–3
L
10 Oct
@ Eibar II
1–1
D
3 Oct
vs Llanera
1–1
D
27 Sep
@ Marino de Luanco
2–1
W
19 Sep
vs Arosa
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Compostela and Basconia.
What is the prediction for Compostela vs Basconia?
Our pick is Compostela or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Compostela vs Basconia?
On our numbers Compostela have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Basconia 19%.
How many goals will there be in Compostela vs Basconia?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Compostela vs Basconia?
Our predicted score is Compostela 1–1 Basconia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Compostela vs Basconia?
Compostela vs Basconia (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
