Value bet: Eibar II to win @ 2.70 – our chance 44% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEibar II to win ✗44% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.36
Portugalete vs Eibar II preview and prediction
The match
Portugalete host Eibar II in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT). Portugalete are 6th with 16 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Eibar II sit 2nd on 20 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Portugalete's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Amorebieta 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Eibar II's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Basconia 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Portugalete and 1.3 for Eibar II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Portugalete 34%, draw 22%, Eibar II 44%.
Value angle: Eibar II to win at 2.70 – 44% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 58% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Portugalete 1–1 Eibar II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Portugalete34%fair 2.97 · @2.35
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.10
Eibar II44%fair 2.26 · @2.70
2.39Expected goals
1.09Portugalete xG
1.30Eibar II xG
45%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Portugalete 1.1 – 1.3 Eibar II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Eibar II to win✗
44%
2.26
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Eibar II / FT Eibar II✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.36
–
Form
Portugalete – last 6
WLLWDW
10 Oct
@ Amorebieta
2–1
W
3 Oct
vs Deportivo Alavés II
0–2
L
27 Sep
@ Bergantiños
2–3
L
19 Sep
vs Coruxo
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Compostela
0–0
D
5 Sep
@ Atlético Astorga
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Eibar II – last 6
DWWWWL
10 Oct
vs Basconia
1–1
D
3 Oct
@ Racing Santander II
5–1
W
27 Sep
vs Compostela
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Ourense CF
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs Gimnástica Torrelavega
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Real Oviedo II
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portugalete and Eibar II.
What is the prediction for Portugalete vs Eibar II?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Portugalete vs Eibar II?
On our numbers Portugalete have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Eibar II 44%.
How many goals will there be in Portugalete vs Eibar II?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portugalete vs Eibar II?
Our predicted score is Portugalete 1–1 Eibar II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Portugalete vs Eibar II?
Portugalete vs Eibar II (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
