Compostela vs Atlético Astorga prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Compostela to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCompostela to win ✓66% · @1.70
Double chanceCompostela or draw ✓85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗61% · fair 1.63
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.81
Compostela vs Atlético Astorga preview and prediction
The match
Compostela host Atlético Astorga in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT). Compostela are 5th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Atlético Astorga sit 17th on 7 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Compostela's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Coruxo 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atlético Astorga's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Ourense CF 4–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Compostela and 0.6 for Atlético Astorga. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 39%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Compostela 66%, draw 20%, Atlético Astorga 15%.
Safer route: Compostela or draw (85%) at 1.14.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Compostela to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Compostela 1–0 Atlético Astorga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Compostela66%fair 1.52 · @1.70
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @3.30
Atlético Astorga15%fair 6.83 · @4.33
2.28Expected goals
1.69Compostela xG
0.60Atlético Astorga xG
39%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Compostela 1.7 – 0.6 Atlético Astorga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Compostela to win✓
66%
1.52
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Compostela or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Compostela / FT Compostela✓
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.81
–
Form
Compostela – last 6
WLLWDD
11 Oct
@ Coruxo
1–0
W
4 Oct
vs Real Oviedo II
1–2
L
27 Sep
@ Eibar II
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs Sestao River
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Portugalete
0–0
D
9 Sep
vs Derio
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Atlético Astorga – last 6
WLLWLL
10 Oct
vs Ourense CF
4–0
W
3 Oct
vs Amorebieta
0–1
L
26 Sep
@ Sestao River
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Marino de Luanco
3–0
W
13 Sep
@ Basconia
2–3
L
5 Sep
vs Portugalete
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Compostela and Atlético Astorga.
What is the prediction for Compostela vs Atlético Astorga?
Our pick is Compostela to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Compostela vs Atlético Astorga?
On our numbers Compostela have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Atlético Astorga 15%.
How many goals will there be in Compostela vs Atlético Astorga?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Compostela vs Atlético Astorga?
Our predicted score is Compostela 1–0 Atlético Astorga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Compostela vs Atlético Astorga?
Compostela vs Atlético Astorga (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.