Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.69
Ourense CF vs Coruxo preview and prediction
The match
Coruxo travel to Estadio de O Couto in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 on Saturday 17 October (16:00 WAT) to face Ourense CF. Ourense CF are 10th with 14 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Coruxo sit 14th on 9 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Ourense CF's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Atlético Astorga 0–4 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Coruxo's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Compostela 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Ourense CF arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.5 for Ourense CF and 0.8 for Coruxo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 43%.
Our pre-match pick was Ourense CF to win – a 57% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.76, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ourense CF 1–0 Coruxo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ourense CF57%fair 1.76 · @1.80
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @3.40
Coruxo24%fair 4.19 · @3.80
2.30Expected goals
1.49Ourense CF xG
0.81Coruxo xG
43%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Ourense CF 1.5 – 0.8 Coruxo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ourense CF to win✗
57%
1.76
1.80
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ourense CF / FT Ourense CF✗
32%
3.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.69
–
Form
Ourense CF – last 6
LDWLWW
10 Oct
@ Atlético Astorga
0–4
L
4 Oct
vs Arosa
0–0
D
26 Sep
@ Amorebieta
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Eibar II
0–2
L
13 Sep
@ Marino de Luanco
2–0
W
6 Sep
vs Basconia
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Coruxo – last 6
LLDLDW
11 Oct
vs Compostela
0–1
L
4 Oct
@ Bergantiños
1–3
L
27 Sep
vs Gernika
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Portugalete
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Racing Santander II
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Deportivo Alavés II
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ourense CF and Coruxo.
Our pick is Ourense CF to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Ourense CF vs Coruxo?
On our numbers Ourense CF have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Coruxo 24%.
How many goals will there be in Ourense CF vs Coruxo?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ourense CF vs Coruxo?
Our predicted score is Ourense CF 1–0 Coruxo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Ourense CF vs Coruxo?
Ourense CF vs Coruxo (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de O Couto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
