Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Marino de Luanco prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 2.00 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
2.00Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGimnástica Torrelavega to win ✗42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.29
Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Marino de Luanco preview and prediction
The match
Marino de Luanco travel to face Gimnástica Torrelavega in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 on Saturday 3 October (16:00 WAT). Gimnástica Torrelavega are 18th with 6 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Marino de Luanco sit 16th on 8 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Gimnástica Torrelavega's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Real Oviedo II 3–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Marino de Luanco's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Basconia 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Gimnástica Torrelavega arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.6 for Gimnástica Torrelavega and 1.4 for Marino de Luanco. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.68, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Gimnástica Torrelavega 1–1 Marino de Luanco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gimnástica Torrelavega42%fair 2.39 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.10
Marino de Luanco34%fair 2.93 · @3.10
3.00Expected goals
1.59Gimnástica Torrelavega xG
1.41Marino de Luanco xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%
From our goals model: Gimnástica Torrelavega 1.6 – 1.4 Marino de Luanco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gimnástica Torrelavega to win✗
42%
2.39
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gimnástica Torrelavega / FT Gimnástica Torrelavega✗
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.29
–
Form
Gimnástica Torrelavega – last 6
DLLWWD
27 Sep
@ Real Oviedo II
3–3
D
20 Sep
vs Bergantiños
0–3
L
12 Sep
@ Eibar II
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Llanera
2–1
W
14 Aug
@ Bezana
1–0
W
11 Aug
vs Sestao River
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Marino de Luanco – last 6
LLLWLL
27 Sep
vs Basconia
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Atlético Astorga
0–3
L
13 Sep
vs Ourense CF
0–2
L
6 Sep
@ Compostela
3–0
W
8 Aug
vs Ponferradina
0–3
L
1 Aug
@ Sporting Gijón II
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimnástica Torrelavega and Marino de Luanco.
What is the prediction for Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Marino de Luanco?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Marino de Luanco?
On our numbers Gimnástica Torrelavega have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Marino de Luanco 34%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Marino de Luanco?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Marino de Luanco?
Our predicted score is Gimnástica Torrelavega 1–1 Marino de Luanco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Marino de Luanco?
Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Marino de Luanco (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
