Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBasconia to win ✗61% · @1.55
Double chanceBasconia or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.44
Basconia vs Llanera preview and prediction
The match
Llanera travel to face Basconia in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 on Saturday 3 October (16:00 WAT). Basconia are 9th with 14 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Llanera sit 13th on 10 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Basconia's last 5: WDWLD Most recently they beat Marino de Luanco 2–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Llanera's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Racing Santander II 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.3 for Basconia and 1.2 for Llanera. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Basconia 61%, draw 21%, Llanera 18%.
Safer route: Basconia or draw (82%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Basconia 2–1 Llanera. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Basconia61%fair 1.65 · @1.55
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @4.00
Llanera18%fair 5.44 · @4.75
3.50Expected goals
2.29Basconia xG
1.21Llanera xG
64%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Basconia 2.3 – 1.2 Llanera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Basconia to win✗
61%
1.65
1.55
Double chance
Basconia or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.67 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Basconia ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Basconia / FT Basconia✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.44
–
Form
Basconia – last 6
WDWLDL
27 Sep
@ Marino de Luanco
2–1
W
19 Sep
vs Arosa
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Atlético Astorga
3–2
W
6 Sep
@ Ourense CF
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Racing Santander II
3–3
D
8 Aug
@ Gimnástica Torrelavega
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Llanera – last 6
WLLLDW
27 Sep
vs Racing Santander II
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Gernika
0–4
L
13 Sep
vs Deportivo Alavés II
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Gimnástica Torrelavega
1–2
L
18 Aug
@ Sporting Gijón II
2–2
D
14 Aug
@ Avilés Stadium
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Basconia and Llanera.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Basconia vs Llanera?
On our numbers Basconia have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Llanera 18%.
How many goals will there be in Basconia vs Llanera?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Basconia vs Llanera?
Our predicted score is Basconia 2–1 Llanera, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Basconia vs Llanera?
Basconia vs Llanera (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
