Portugalete vs Deportivo Alavés II prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Alavés II to win ✓40% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.45
Portugalete vs Deportivo Alavés II preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo Alavés II travel to face Portugalete in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 on Saturday 3 October (17:00 WAT). Portugalete are 6th with 16 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Deportivo Alavés II sit 3rd on 20 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Portugalete's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Bergantiños 2–3 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Deportivo Alavés II's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Arosa 5–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.5 for Portugalete and 1.6 for Deportivo Alavés II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Portugalete 34%, draw 26%, Deportivo Alavés II 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.70, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Portugalete 1–1 Deportivo Alavés II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Portugalete34%fair 2.95 · @2.70
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @2.75
Deportivo Alavés II40%fair 2.51 · @2.62
3.13Expected goals
1.50Portugalete xG
1.63Deportivo Alavés II xG
59%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–27%
From our goals model: Portugalete 1.5 – 1.6 Deportivo Alavés II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Alavés II to win✓
40%
2.51
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Alavés II / FT Deportivo Alavés II✗
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.45
–
Form
Portugalete – last 6
LWDWWW
27 Sep
@ Bergantiños
2–3
L
19 Sep
vs Coruxo
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Compostela
0–0
D
5 Sep
@ Atlético Astorga
1–0
W
14 Aug
vs Barakaldo
2–0
W
17 Apr
vs Eibar III
4–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Deportivo Alavés II – last 6
WWWLLD
27 Sep
@ Arosa
5–2
W
20 Sep
vs Real Oviedo II
3–1
W
13 Sep
@ Llanera
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Coruxo
0–2
L
17 May
vs Real Jaén
0–1
L
3 May
@ Gernika
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portugalete and Deportivo Alavés II.
What is the prediction for Portugalete vs Deportivo Alavés II?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Portugalete vs Deportivo Alavés II?
On our numbers Portugalete have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Deportivo Alavés II 40%.
How many goals will there be in Portugalete vs Deportivo Alavés II?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portugalete vs Deportivo Alavés II?
Our predicted score is Portugalete 1–1 Deportivo Alavés II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Portugalete vs Deportivo Alavés II?
Portugalete vs Deportivo Alavés II (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
