Atlético Astorga vs Amorebieta preview and prediction
The match
Amorebieta travel to face Atlético Astorga in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 on Saturday 3 October (16:00 WAT). Atlético Astorga are 17th with 7 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Amorebieta sit 7th on 16 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Atlético Astorga's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Sestao River 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Amorebieta's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Ourense CF 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Atlético Astorga and 1.2 for Amorebieta. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlético Astorga 36%, draw 27%, Amorebieta 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.77, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Atlético Astorga 1–1 Amorebieta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlético Astorga36%fair 2.78 · @2.80
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @2.70
Amorebieta37%fair 2.71 · @2.60
2.38Expected goals
1.18Atlético Astorga xG
1.20Amorebieta xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Atlético Astorga 1.2 – 1.2 Amorebieta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Amorebieta to win✓
37%
2.71
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Amorebieta / FT Amorebieta✗
21%
4.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
11%
9.01
–
Form
Atlético Astorga – last 6
LWLLLW
26 Sep
@ Sestao River
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Marino de Luanco
3–0
W
13 Sep
@ Basconia
2–3
L
5 Sep
vs Portugalete
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Palencia CF
0–1
L
26 Aug
vs Salamanca UDS
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Amorebieta – last 6
LWLDLW
26 Sep
vs Ourense CF
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Racing Santander II
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Bergantiños
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Arosa
2–2
D
8 Aug
vs Athletic Club II
0–1
L
3 May
@ Mutilvera
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlético Astorga and Amorebieta.
What is the prediction for Atlético Astorga vs Amorebieta?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Atlético Astorga vs Amorebieta?
On our numbers Atlético Astorga have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Amorebieta 37%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Astorga vs Amorebieta?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Astorga vs Amorebieta?
Our predicted score is Atlético Astorga 1–1 Amorebieta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Atlético Astorga vs Amorebieta?
Atlético Astorga vs Amorebieta (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
