Marino de Luanco vs Basconia prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBasconia to win ✓41% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.51
Marino de Luanco vs Basconia preview and prediction
The match
Basconia travel to face Marino de Luanco in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 27 September (16:00 WAT). Marino de Luanco are 16th with 8 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Basconia sit 9th on 14 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Marino de Luanco's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Atlético Astorga 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Basconia's last 5: DWLDL Most recently they drew with Arosa 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.6 for Marino de Luanco and 1.8 for Basconia. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Marino de Luanco 33%, draw 25%, Basconia 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.66, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Marino de Luanco 1–1 Basconia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Marino de Luanco33%fair 2.99 · @2.80
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @2.90
Basconia41%fair 2.44 · @2.40
3.33Expected goals
1.57Marino de Luanco xG
1.76Basconia xG
60%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Marino de Luanco 1.6 – 1.8 Basconia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Basconia to win✓
41%
2.44
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.75 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Basconia / FT Basconia✓
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.51
–
Form
Marino de Luanco – last 6
LLWLLW
19 Sep
@ Atlético Astorga
0–3
L
13 Sep
vs Ourense CF
0–2
L
6 Sep
@ Compostela
3–0
W
8 Aug
vs Ponferradina
0–3
L
1 Aug
@ Sporting Gijón II
0–1
L
29 Jul
vs Real Avilés
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Basconia – last 6
DWLDLW
19 Sep
vs Arosa
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Atlético Astorga
3–2
W
6 Sep
@ Ourense CF
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Racing Santander II
3–3
D
8 Aug
@ Gimnástica Torrelavega
1–2
L
3 May
vs Ejea
5–1
W
2.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marino de Luanco and Basconia.
What is the prediction for Marino de Luanco vs Basconia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Marino de Luanco vs Basconia?
On our numbers Marino de Luanco have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Basconia 41%.
How many goals will there be in Marino de Luanco vs Basconia?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marino de Luanco vs Basconia?
Our predicted score is Marino de Luanco 1–1 Basconia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Marino de Luanco vs Basconia?
Marino de Luanco vs Basconia (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
