The Segunda División RFEF Group 1 sees Bergantiños take on Portugalete on Sunday 27 September, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT). Bergantiños are 4th with 18 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Portugalete sit 6th on 16 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Bergantiños's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Gimnástica Torrelavega 3–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Portugalete's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Coruxo 2–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Portugalete arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Bergantiños and 0.9 for Portugalete. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.91. Predicted score: Bergantiños 1–1 Portugalete. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bergantiños41%fair 2.46 · @2.25
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @2.90
Portugalete34%fair 2.95 · @3.00
2.00Expected goals
1.07Bergantiños xG
0.93Portugalete xG
52%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
0–014%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Bergantiños 1.1 – 0.9 Portugalete expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bergantiños to win✓
41%
2.46
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.93
–
Form
Bergantiños – last 6
WLWWDW
20 Sep
@ Gimnástica Torrelavega
3–0
W
16 Sep
@ UD Santa Marta
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Amorebieta
1–0
W
9 Sep
vs Leioa
5–0
W
6 Sep
@ Gernika
2–2
D
3 May
@ Sámano
5–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Portugalete – last 6
WDWWWW
19 Sep
vs Coruxo
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Compostela
0–0
D
5 Sep
@ Atlético Astorga
1–0
W
14 Aug
vs Barakaldo
2–0
W
17 Apr
vs Eibar III
4–2
W
1 Apr
vs Durango
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bergantiños and Portugalete.
What is the prediction for Bergantiños vs Portugalete?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Bergantiños vs Portugalete?
On our numbers Bergantiños have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Portugalete 34%.
How many goals will there be in Bergantiños vs Portugalete?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bergantiños vs Portugalete?
Our predicted score is Bergantiños 1–1 Portugalete, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Bergantiños vs Portugalete?
Bergantiños vs Portugalete (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
