Value bet: Sestao River to win @ 3.10 – our chance 42% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSestao River to win ✓42% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓10% · fair 10.36
Racing Santander II vs Sestao River preview and prediction
The match
Sestao River travel to face Racing Santander II in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 6 September (11:00 WAT). Racing Santander II are 12th with 11 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Sestao River sit 1st on 25 points (top of the table). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Racing Santander II's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Laredo 2–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.
Sestao River's last 5: WDLWD Most recently they beat Derio 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Racing Santander II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Racing Santander II and 1.4 for Sestao River. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Racing Santander II 36%, draw 23%, Sestao River 42%.
Value angle: Sestao River to win at 3.10 – 42% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 50% chance at odds of 1.90. Predicted score: Racing Santander II 1–1 Sestao River. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Racing Santander II36%fair 2.79 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.40
Sestao River42%fair 2.40 · @3.10
2.67Expected goals
1.27Racing Santander II xG
1.40Sestao River xG
48%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Racing Santander II 1.3 – 1.4 Sestao River expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sestao River to win✓
42%
2.40
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sestao River / FT Sestao River✗
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
10%
10.36
–
Form
Racing Santander II – last 6
WDWWWW
27 Aug
@ Laredo
2–0
W
15 Aug
vs Basconia
3–3
D
8 Aug
vs Real Avilés
2–1
W
3 May
@ Sarriana
4–3
W
26 Apr
vs Real Ávila
4–1
W
12 Apr
vs Atlético Astorga
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Sestao River – last 6
WDLWDD
29 Aug
@ Derio
1–0
W
11 Aug
@ Gimnástica Torrelavega
1–1
D
22 Jul
vs Athletic Club
0–2
L
3 May
vs Utebo
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ Amorebieta
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Beasain
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Racing Santander II and Sestao River.
What is the prediction for Racing Santander II vs Sestao River?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Racing Santander II vs Sestao River?
On our numbers Racing Santander II have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sestao River 42%.
How many goals will there be in Racing Santander II vs Sestao River?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Racing Santander II vs Sestao River?
Our predicted score is Racing Santander II 1–1 Sestao River, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Racing Santander II vs Sestao River?
Racing Santander II vs Sestao River (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
