Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.08 – our chance 55% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFratria to win ✓70% · @1.32
Double chanceFratria or draw ✓88% · fair 1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.08
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗13% · fair 7.62
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Fratria preview and prediction
The match
Pirin Blagoevgrad host Fratria in the Second League on Sunday 20 September, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Hristo Botev. Pirin Blagoevgrad are 18th with 2 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Fratria sit 4th on 25 points (in the top four). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Pirin Blagoevgrad's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Marek 0–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Fratria's last 5: DDDWD Most recently they drew with Ludogorets II 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Fratria arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 May 2026, finished Fratria 3–0 Pirin Blagoevgrad.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.7 for Pirin Blagoevgrad and 2.1 for Fratria. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.08 – 55% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Pirin Blagoevgrad 0–2 Fratria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pirin Blagoevgrad12%fair 8.17 · @8.10
Draw18%fair 5.53 · @4.15
Fratria70%fair 1.44 · @1.32
2.81Expected goals
0.72Pirin Blagoevgrad xG
2.09Fratria xG
55%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–213%
0–113%
1–29%
0–39%
1–19%
1–37%
From our goals model: Pirin Blagoevgrad 0.7 – 2.1 Fratria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Fratria?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Fratria?
On our numbers Pirin Blagoevgrad have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Fratria 70%.
How many goals will there be in Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Fratria?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Fratria?
Our predicted score is Pirin Blagoevgrad 0–2 Fratria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Fratria?
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Fratria (Second League) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Hristo Botev.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
