Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Etar Veliko Tarnovo or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Etar Veliko Tarnovo to win @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEtar Veliko Tarnovo to win ✗59% · @1.91
Double chanceEtar Veliko Tarnovo or draw ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.67
Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas preview and prediction
The match
The Second League sees Etar Veliko Tarnovo take on Chernomorets 1919 Burgas on Sunday 20 September, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT) at Ivajlo Stadion. Etar Veliko Tarnovo are 11th with 21 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Chernomorets 1919 Burgas sit 3rd on 29 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Etar Veliko Tarnovo's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Hebar 1918 1–4 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Spartak Pleven 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Etar Veliko Tarnovo and 0.9 for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 49%.
Safer route: Etar Veliko Tarnovo or draw (80%) at 1.25.
Value angle: Etar Veliko Tarnovo to win at 1.91 – 59% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Etar Veliko Tarnovo or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1–0 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Etar Veliko Tarnovo59%fair 1.70 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.50
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas20%fair 4.93 · @3.30
2.75Expected goals
1.81Etar Veliko Tarnovo xG
0.94Chernomorets 1919 Burgas xG
49%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
3–06%
From our goals model: Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1.8 – 0.9 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Etar Veliko Tarnovo to win✗
59%
1.70
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Etar Veliko Tarnovo or draw✗
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Etar Veliko Tarnovo ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Etar Veliko Tarnovo / FT Etar Veliko Tarnovo✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.67
–
Form
Etar Veliko Tarnovo – last 6
LWLDLD
14 Sep
@ Hebar 1918
1–4
L
6 Sep
vs CSKA Sofia II
1–0
W
3 Sep
@ Vihren
1–4
L
29 Aug
vs Beroe
2–2
D
21 Aug
@ Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs Rilski Sportist
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas – last 6
WDWWLL
13 Sep
vs Spartak Pleven
3–0
W
7 Sep
@ Fratria
2–2
D
2 Sep
vs Ludogorets II
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Pirin Blagoevgrad
3–0
W
23 Aug
@ Hebar 1918
0–1
L
17 Aug
vs CSKA Sofia II
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Etar Veliko Tarnovo and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas.
What is the prediction for Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
Our pick is Etar Veliko Tarnovo or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
On our numbers Etar Veliko Tarnovo have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 20%.
How many goals will there be in Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
Our predicted score is Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1–0 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas (Second League) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Ivajlo Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
