Second League · Bulgaria · Stadion BonchukMarek vs Rilski Sportist prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Marek 1.3 – 1.0 Rilski Sportist expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Marek hold the edge on home soil with a 47% chance of winning, against 31% for Rilski Sportist.
Marek have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.0 per game. Rilski Sportist have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.2 goals (1.3 for Marek, 1.0 for Rilski Sportist). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 47%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (11%).
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 60% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.60 is close to our fair price of 1.66.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Marek to win ✗ | 47% | 2.14 | 2.25 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 53% | 1.87 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 60% | 1.66 | 1.60 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 82% | 1.23 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.13 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Marek / FT Marek ✗ | 25% | 3.98 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.25 | – |
Form
Marek – last 6
| 13 Sep | vs Pirin Blagoevgrad | 3–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Yantra 2019 | 0–3 | L |
| 2 Sep | vs Nesebar | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Sportist Svoge | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Aug | vs Dobrudzha | 4–2 | W |
| 16 Aug | @ Montana | 0–1 | L |
Rilski Sportist – last 6
| 13 Sep | vs Yantra 2019 | 2–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Nesebar | 1–2 | L |
| 2 Sep | vs Sportist Svoge | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Dobrudzha | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Aug | vs Montana | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marek and Rilski Sportist.
Second League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CSKA Sofia II | 15 | +18 | 31 |
| 2 |  Vihren | 15 | +15 | 29 |
| 3 |  Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 15 | +14 | 29 |
| 4 |  Fratria | 14 | +10 | 25 |
| 5 |  Yantra 2019 | 15 | +5 | 24 |
| 6 |  Hebar 1918 | 15 | +7 | 23 |
| 7 |  Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 15 | +1 | 23 |
| 8 |  Beroe | 15 | +3 | 22 |
| 9 |  Ludogorets II | 14 | +6 | 22 |
| 10 |  Spartak Pleven | 15 | -9 | 21 |
| 11 |  Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 14 | +1 | 21 |
| 12 |  Rilski Sportist | 15 | 0 | 20 |
| 13 |  Marek | 15 | -4 | 18 |
| 14 |  Nesebar | 15 | -1 | 18 |
| 15 |  Montana | 15 | -11 | 15 |
| 16 |  Sportist Svoge | 15 | -9 | 12 |
| 17 |  Dobrudzha | 14 | -13 | 10 |
| 18 |  Pirin Blagoevgrad | 15 | -33 | 2 |
More Second League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Marek vs Rilski Sportist?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Marek vs Rilski Sportist?
On our numbers Marek have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rilski Sportist 31%.
How many goals will there be in Marek vs Rilski Sportist?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
When is Marek vs Rilski Sportist?
Marek vs Rilski Sportist (Second League) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Bonchuk.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.