Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.85
Nesebar vs Beroe preview and prediction
The match
The Second League sees Nesebar take on Beroe on Sunday 20 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Gradski stadion. Nesebar are 14th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Beroe sit 8th on 22 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Nesebar's last 5: DWLDW Most recently they drew with Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Beroe's last 5: WDDDW Most recently they beat Sportist Svoge 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Nesebar and 1.1 for Beroe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nesebar 44%, draw 22%, Beroe 34%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Nesebar 1–1 Beroe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nesebar44%fair 2.27 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.10
Beroe34%fair 2.97 · @3.00
2.48Expected goals
1.35Nesebar xG
1.13Beroe xG
48%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Nesebar 1.3 – 1.1 Beroe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nesebar to win✓
44%
2.27
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nesebar / FT Nesebar✓
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.85
–
Form
Nesebar – last 6
DWLDWW
15 Sep
@ Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Rilski Sportist
2–1
W
2 Sep
@ Marek
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Yantra 2019
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
7–0
W
16 Aug
@ Sportist Svoge
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Beroe – last 6
WDDDWL
13 Sep
vs Sportist Svoge
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Dobrudzha
2–2
D
3 Sep
vs Montana
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Etar Veliko Tarnovo
2–2
D
25 Aug
vs Spartak Pleven
3–0
W
14 Aug
@ Fratria
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nesebar and Beroe.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Nesebar vs Beroe?
On our numbers Nesebar have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Beroe 34%.
How many goals will there be in Nesebar vs Beroe?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nesebar vs Beroe?
Our predicted score is Nesebar 1–1 Beroe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Nesebar vs Beroe?
Nesebar vs Beroe (Second League) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
