Algeciras vs Real Madrid II preview and prediction
The match
Algeciras host Real Madrid II in the Primera División RFEF Group 2 on Sunday 25 October, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT) at Estadio Nuevo Mirador. Algeciras are 13th with 14 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Real Madrid II sit 9th on 16 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Algeciras's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Hércules 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Real Madrid II's last 5: WDWLD Most recently they beat Antequera 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Algeciras and 1.4 for Real Madrid II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Algeciras 36%, draw 24%, Real Madrid II 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Algeciras 1–1 Real Madrid II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Algeciras36%fair 2.78 · @2.90
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.00
Real Madrid II40%fair 2.52 · @2.20
2.75Expected goals
1.33Algeciras xG
1.42Real Madrid II xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–09%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: Algeciras 1.3 – 1.4 Real Madrid II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Madrid II to win✗
40%
2.52
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Madrid II / FT Real Madrid II✗
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.70
–
Form
Algeciras – last 6
WLWWDL
17 Oct
vs Hércules
2–0
W
11 Oct
@ Europa Fc
1–2
L
4 Oct
vs Rayo Majadahonda
1–0
W
26 Sep
@ Juventud Torremolinos
2–1
W
20 Sep
vs Águilas
1–1
D
11 Sep
@ Gimnastic
2–4
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Real Madrid II – last 6
WDWLDL
18 Oct
vs Antequera
3–2
W
9 Oct
@ Ibiza
1–1
D
2 Oct
vs Atlético Madrid II
3–2
W
27 Sep
vs Alcorcon
1–2
L
23 Sep
@ Sant Andreu
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Águilas
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Algeciras and Real Madrid II.
What is the prediction for Algeciras vs Real Madrid II?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Algeciras vs Real Madrid II?
On our numbers Algeciras have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Real Madrid II 40%.
How many goals will there be in Algeciras vs Real Madrid II?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Algeciras vs Real Madrid II?
Our predicted score is Algeciras 1–1 Real Madrid II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Algeciras vs Real Madrid II?
Algeciras vs Real Madrid II (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Mirador.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
