Primera División RFEF Group 2 · Spain · Estadio de la CeramicaVillarreal II vs FC Cartagena prediction & analysis
Villarreal II or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Villarreal II to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Villarreal II 1.9 – 0.8 FC Cartagena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Villarreal II are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 13% for FC Cartagena.
Villarreal II have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.2 per game. FC Cartagena have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.9 for Villarreal II, 0.8 for FC Cartagena). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (12%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Villarreal II or draw at a 87% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is better than our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Villarreal II to win at 1.95 is our value angle (62% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Villarreal II to win ✓ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Villarreal II or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.25 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 70% | 1.42 | – |
| Half-time result | Villarreal II ahead at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.19 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Villarreal II / FT Villarreal II ✗ | 41% | 2.46 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.07 | – |
Form
Villarreal II – last 6
| 17 Oct | vs Teruel | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Real Jaén | 3–3 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Ibiza | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Sep | @ Atlético Madrid II | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Antequera | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sep | @ Huesca | 3–0 | W |
FC Cartagena – last 6
| 16 Oct | vs Europa Fc | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Antequera | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Oct | vs Real Murcia | 1–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Águilas | 4–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Zaragoza | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Rayo Majadahonda | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villarreal II and FC Cartagena.
Primera División RFEF Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zaragoza | 11 | +9 | 24 |
| 2 |  Villarreal II | 11 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 |  Real Murcia | 11 | +4 | 20 |
| 4 |  Real Jaén | 11 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 |  Alcorcon | 11 | +9 | 18 |
| 6 |  Ibiza | 11 | +4 | 18 |
| 7 |  Hércules | 11 | -1 | 17 |
| 8 |  FC Cartagena | 11 | +3 | 16 |
| 9 |  Real Madrid II | 11 | +2 | 16 |
| 10 |  Huesca | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 |  Gimnastic | 11 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 |  Antequera | 11 | +2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Algeciras | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 |  Sant Andreu | 11 | 0 | 13 |
| 15 |  Atlético Madrid II | 11 | +1 | 11 |
| 16 |  Europa Fc | 11 | -11 | 10 |
| 17 |  Águilas | 11 | -6 | 9 |
| 18 |  Juventud Torremolinos | 11 | -9 | 8 |
| 19 |  Rayo Majadahonda | 11 | -7 | 7 |
| 20 |  Teruel | 11 | -13 | 7 |
More Primera División RFEF Group 2 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Villarreal II vs FC Cartagena?
Our pick is Villarreal II or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Villarreal II vs FC Cartagena?
On our numbers Villarreal II have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FC Cartagena 13%.
How many goals will there be in Villarreal II vs FC Cartagena?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Villarreal II vs FC Cartagena?
Villarreal II vs FC Cartagena (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de la Ceramica.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.