The Primera División RFEF Group 1 sees Zamora take on Ponferradina on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 17:45 (WAT) at Estadio Ruta de la Plata. Zamora are 16th with 12 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Ponferradina sit 11th on 15 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Zamora's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Mirandes 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Ponferradina's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Real Avilés 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.0 for Zamora and 0.8 for Ponferradina. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.91. Predicted score: Zamora 1–1 Ponferradina. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Zamora43%fair 2.33 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @2.88
Ponferradina34%fair 2.96 · @3.10
1.86Expected goals
1.01Zamora xG
0.85Ponferradina xG
52%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–016%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Zamora 1.0 – 0.8 Ponferradina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zamora to win✗
43%
2.33
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.33
–
Form
Zamora – last 6
DWWLWL
10 Oct
@ Mirandes
1–1
D
4 Oct
vs CD Coria
2–0
W
26 Sep
@ Extremadura 1924
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs Lugo
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Arenas Getxo
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs UD Logroñés
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ponferradina – last 6
LWDWLD
11 Oct
vs Real Avilés
0–2
L
4 Oct
vs Mirandes
1–0
W
27 Sep
@ Pontevedra
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs Mérida AD
1–0
W
13 Sep
@ Deportivo La Coruña II
1–2
L
4 Sep
vs Lugo
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zamora and Ponferradina.
What is the prediction for Zamora vs Ponferradina?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Zamora vs Ponferradina?
On our numbers Zamora have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ponferradina 34%.
How many goals will there be in Zamora vs Ponferradina?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zamora vs Ponferradina?
Our predicted score is Zamora 1–1 Ponferradina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Zamora vs Ponferradina?
Zamora vs Ponferradina (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ruta de la Plata.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
