Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBarakaldo to win ✓39% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.07
Barakaldo vs Mirandes preview and prediction
The match
Mirandes travel to Campo de Lasesarre in the Primera División RFEF Group 1 on Saturday 17 October (15:30 WAT) to face Barakaldo. Barakaldo are 12th with 14 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Mirandes sit 5th on 17 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Barakaldo's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to UD Ourense 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Mirandes's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Zamora 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Mirandes arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Barakaldo and 1.2 for Mirandes. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 59%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.70, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Barakaldo 1–1 Mirandes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barakaldo39%fair 2.57 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.80
Mirandes35%fair 2.83 · @2.90
2.43Expected goals
1.25Barakaldo xG
1.18Mirandes xG
59%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Barakaldo 1.3 – 1.2 Mirandes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barakaldo to win✓
39%
2.57
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barakaldo / FT Barakaldo✓
22%
4.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.07
–
Form
Barakaldo – last 6
LDDLWL
10 Oct
@ UD Ourense
0–1
L
3 Oct
vs Arenas Getxo
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs Real Avilés
3–3
D
19 Sep
@ Racing Ferrol
0–1
L
11 Sep
vs Extremadura 1924
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ CD Coria
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mirandes – last 6
DLWDWW
10 Oct
vs Zamora
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Ponferradina
0–1
L
27 Sep
vs Unionistas de Salamanca
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Real Unión
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Mérida AD
4–3
W
5 Sep
vs UD Ourense
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barakaldo and Mirandes.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Barakaldo vs Mirandes?
On our numbers Barakaldo have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Mirandes 35%.
How many goals will there be in Barakaldo vs Mirandes?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barakaldo vs Mirandes?
Our predicted score is Barakaldo 1–1 Mirandes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Barakaldo vs Mirandes?
Barakaldo vs Mirandes (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Campo de Lasesarre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
