Lugo vs Deportivo La Coruña II prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Lugo or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLugo to win ✓58% · @1.75
Double chanceLugo or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.13
Lugo vs Deportivo La Coruña II preview and prediction
The match
Lugo host Deportivo La Coruña II in the Primera División RFEF Group 1 on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 15:30 (WAT) at Estadio Anxo Carro. Lugo are 1st with 28 points from 11 games (top of the table), while Deportivo La Coruña II sit 18th on 11 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Lugo's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat UD Logroñés 3–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Deportivo La Coruña II's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Racing Ferrol 0–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Lugo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Lugo and 0.7 for Deportivo La Coruña II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lugo 58%, draw 24%, Deportivo La Coruña II 18%.
Safer route: Lugo or draw (82%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Lugo or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Lugo 1–0 Deportivo La Coruña II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lugo58%fair 1.71 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.30
Deportivo La Coruña II18%fair 5.63 · @4.00
2.29Expected goals
1.57Lugo xG
0.72Deportivo La Coruña II xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–012%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Lugo 1.6 – 0.7 Deportivo La Coruña II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lugo to win✓
58%
1.71
1.75
Double chance
Lugo or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lugo / FT Lugo✓
35%
2.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.13
–
Form
Lugo – last 6
WWWWWD
12 Oct
vs UD Logroñés
3–1
W
2 Oct
@ Real Avilés
2–1
W
26 Sep
vs Racing Ferrol
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Zamora
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs CD Coria
1–0
W
4 Sep
@ Ponferradina
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Deportivo La Coruña II – last 6
LLWDWD
10 Oct
vs Racing Ferrol
0–1
L
4 Oct
@ UD Logroñés
1–2
L
26 Sep
vs Real Unión
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Athletic Club II
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Ponferradina
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs Cacereño
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lugo and Deportivo La Coruña II.
What is the prediction for Lugo vs Deportivo La Coruña II?
Our pick is Lugo or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Lugo vs Deportivo La Coruña II?
On our numbers Lugo have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Deportivo La Coruña II 18%.
How many goals will there be in Lugo vs Deportivo La Coruña II?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lugo vs Deportivo La Coruña II?
Our predicted score is Lugo 1–0 Deportivo La Coruña II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Lugo vs Deportivo La Coruña II?
Lugo vs Deportivo La Coruña II (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Anxo Carro.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
