Value bet: Cacereño to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCacereño to win ✗38% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.77
Pontevedra vs Cacereño preview and prediction
The match
Cacereño travel to face Pontevedra in the Primera División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 18 October (15:00 WAT). Pontevedra are 3rd with 18 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Cacereño sit 10th on 15 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Pontevedra's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to Mérida AD 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Cacereño's last 5: DLDWL Most recently they drew with Unionistas de Salamanca 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Pontevedra and 1.1 for Cacereño. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Value angle: Cacereño to win at 3.10 – 38% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.84, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Pontevedra 1–1 Cacereño. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pontevedra36%fair 2.78 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.80
Cacereño38%fair 2.61 · @3.10
2.14Expected goals
1.05Pontevedra xG
1.09Cacereño xG
54%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Pontevedra 1.0 – 1.1 Cacereño expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cacereño to win✗
38%
2.61
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cacereño / FT Cacereño✗
20%
4.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.77
–
Form
Pontevedra – last 6
LLDDLW
11 Oct
vs Mérida AD
1–2
L
3 Oct
@ Racing Ferrol
0–2
L
27 Sep
vs Ponferradina
1–1
D
18 Sep
@ UD Logroñés
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Athletic Club II
1–3
L
5 Sep
vs Arenas Getxo
4–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cacereño – last 6
DLDWLW
10 Oct
vs Unionistas de Salamanca
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Mérida AD
0–2
L
27 Sep
@ UD Ourense
0–0
D
20 Sep
vs Arenas Getxo
3–0
W
16 Sep
@ Recreativo Huelva
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Cultural Leonesa
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pontevedra and Cacereño.
What is the prediction for Pontevedra vs Cacereño?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Pontevedra vs Cacereño?
On our numbers Pontevedra have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cacereño 38%.
How many goals will there be in Pontevedra vs Cacereño?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pontevedra vs Cacereño?
Our predicted score is Pontevedra 1–1 Cacereño, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Pontevedra vs Cacereño?
Pontevedra vs Cacereño (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
