Athletic Club II vs Real Unión prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Athletic Club II or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
1
Value bet: Athletic Club II to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAthletic Club II to win ✗57% · @1.95
Double chanceAthletic Club II or draw ✓82% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.60
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.79
Athletic Club II vs Real Unión preview and prediction
The match
Real Unión travel to Lezama Facilities in the Primera División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 11 October (11:00 WAT) to face Athletic Club II. Athletic Club II are 9th with 15 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Real Unión sit 13th on 13 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Athletic Club II's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Extremadura 1924 1–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Real Unión's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with UD Ourense 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Athletic Club II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.3 for Athletic Club II and 1.3 for Real Unión. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 71% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Athletic Club II 57%, draw 25%, Real Unión 18%.
Safer route: Athletic Club II or draw (82%) at 1.30.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Athletic Club II to win at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Athletic Club II or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.23, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Athletic Club II 2–1 Real Unión. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Athletic Club II57%fair 1.76 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.20
Real Unión18%fair 5.44 · @3.25
3.67Expected goals
2.33Athletic Club II xG
1.34Real Unión xG
63%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Athletic Club II 2.3 – 1.3 Real Unión expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Athletic Club II to win✗
57%
1.76
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Athletic Club II or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.30 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Athletic Club II ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Athletic Club II / FT Athletic Club II✗
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.79
–
Form
Athletic Club II – last 6
LWDWWD
4 Oct
vs Extremadura 1924
1–3
L
26 Sep
@ Arenas Getxo
3–0
W
20 Sep
vs Deportivo La Coruña II
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Pontevedra
3–1
W
6 Sep
vs Real Avilés
2–1
W
29 Aug
@ Zamora
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Real Unión – last 6
DLDLWW
3 Oct
vs UD Ourense
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ Deportivo La Coruña II
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Mirandes
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Racing Ferrol
2–3
L
5 Sep
@ Unionistas de Salamanca
4–2
W
30 Aug
vs CD Coria
4–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Athletic Club II and Real Unión.
What is the prediction for Athletic Club II vs Real Unión?
Our pick is Athletic Club II or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Athletic Club II vs Real Unión?
On our numbers Athletic Club II have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Real Unión 18%.
How many goals will there be in Athletic Club II vs Real Unión?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Athletic Club II vs Real Unión?
Our predicted score is Athletic Club II 2–1 Real Unión, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Athletic Club II vs Real Unión?
Athletic Club II vs Real Unión (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Lezama Facilities.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
