Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.54
Real Unión vs UD Ourense preview and prediction
The match
UD Ourense travel to Stadium Gal in the Primera División RFEF Group 1 on Saturday 3 October (15:30 WAT) to face Real Unión. Real Unión are 13th with 13 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while UD Ourense sit 20th on 8 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Real Unión's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Deportivo La Coruña II 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
UD Ourense's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Cacereño 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Real Unión arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.4 for Real Unión and 0.8 for UD Ourense. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Unión 71%, draw 20%, UD Ourense 9%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Real Unión to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Real Unión 2–0 UD Ourense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Unión71%fair 1.41 · @1.35
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @4.40
UD Ourense9%fair 11.20 · @6.50
3.20Expected goals
2.40Real Unión xG
0.80UD Ourense xG
48%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–010%
2–19%
3–09%
1–18%
3–18%
From our goals model: Real Unión 2.4 – 0.8 UD Ourense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Unión to win✗
71%
1.41
1.35
Double chance
Real Unión or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Real Unión ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Unión / FT Real Unión✗
49%
2.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.54
–
Form
Real Unión – last 6
LDLWWD
26 Sep
@ Deportivo La Coruña II
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Mirandes
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Racing Ferrol
2–3
L
5 Sep
@ Unionistas de Salamanca
4–2
W
30 Aug
vs CD Coria
4–1
W
8 Aug
vs Eibar
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
UD Ourense – last 6
DLLLLW
27 Sep
vs Cacereño
0–0
D
19 Sep
@ Unionistas de Salamanca
1–3
L
12 Sep
vs UD Logroñés
0–3
L
5 Sep
@ Mirandes
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Ponferradina
0–1
L
31 May
@ Conquense
2–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Unión and UD Ourense.
What is the prediction for Real Unión vs UD Ourense?
Our pick is Real Unión to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Real Unión vs UD Ourense?
On our numbers Real Unión have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 20% and UD Ourense 9%.
How many goals will there be in Real Unión vs UD Ourense?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Unión vs UD Ourense?
Our predicted score is Real Unión 2–0 UD Ourense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Real Unión vs UD Ourense?
Real Unión vs UD Ourense (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadium Gal.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
