Athletic Club II vs Extremadura 1924 prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Athletic Club II or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Athletic Club II to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAthletic Club II to win ✗61% · @1.85
Double chanceAthletic Club II or draw ✗83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.18
Athletic Club II vs Extremadura 1924 preview and prediction
The match
Athletic Club II host Extremadura 1924 in the Primera División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 4 October, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Lezama Facilities. Athletic Club II are 9th with 15 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Extremadura 1924 sit 7th on 16 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Athletic Club II's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Arenas Getxo 3–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Extremadura 1924's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Zamora 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Athletic Club II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Athletic Club II and 0.7 for Extremadura 1924. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Athletic Club II 61%, draw 21%, Extremadura 1924 17%.
Safer route: Athletic Club II or draw (83%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Athletic Club II to win at 1.85 – 61% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Athletic Club II or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Athletic Club II 1–0 Extremadura 1924. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Athletic Club II61%fair 1.63 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.00
Extremadura 192417%fair 5.72 · @3.80
2.30Expected goals
1.61Athletic Club II xG
0.69Extremadura 1924 xG
45%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Athletic Club II 1.6 – 0.7 Extremadura 1924 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Athletic Club II to win✗
61%
1.63
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Athletic Club II or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Athletic Club II / FT Athletic Club II✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.18
–
Form
Athletic Club II – last 6
WDWWDW
26 Sep
@ Arenas Getxo
3–0
W
20 Sep
vs Deportivo La Coruña II
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Pontevedra
3–1
W
6 Sep
vs Real Avilés
2–1
W
29 Aug
@ Zamora
1–1
D
18 Aug
@ Laredo
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Extremadura 1924 – last 6
LLLWLD
26 Sep
vs Zamora
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs Cultural Leonesa
0–1
L
11 Sep
@ Barakaldo
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Racing Ferrol
1–0
W
31 Aug
@ UD Logroñés
1–2
L
14 Aug
@ CD Coria
2–2
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Athletic Club II and Extremadura 1924.
What is the prediction for Athletic Club II vs Extremadura 1924?
Our pick is Athletic Club II or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Athletic Club II vs Extremadura 1924?
On our numbers Athletic Club II have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Extremadura 1924 17%.
How many goals will there be in Athletic Club II vs Extremadura 1924?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Athletic Club II vs Extremadura 1924?
Our predicted score is Athletic Club II 1–0 Extremadura 1924, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Athletic Club II vs Extremadura 1924?
Athletic Club II vs Extremadura 1924 (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Lezama Facilities.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.