Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo La Coruña II to win ✓39% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.79
Deportivo La Coruña II vs Real Unión preview and prediction
The match
Real Unión travel to Estadio Abanca-Riazor in the Primera División RFEF Group 1 on Saturday 26 September (17:45 WAT) to face Deportivo La Coruña II. Deportivo La Coruña II are 18th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Real Unión sit 13th on 13 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Deportivo La Coruña II's last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with Athletic Club II 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Real Unión's last 5: DLWWD Most recently they drew with Mirandes 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Real Unión arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.6 for Deportivo La Coruña II and 1.6 for Real Unión. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportivo La Coruña II 39%, draw 24%, Real Unión 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 1.95 – 55% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Deportivo La Coruña II 1–1 Real Unión. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo La Coruña II39%fair 2.57 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.10
Real Unión37%fair 2.71 · @2.88
3.19Expected goals
1.62Deportivo La Coruña II xG
1.57Real Unión xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Deportivo La Coruña II 1.6 – 1.6 Real Unión expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo La Coruña II to win✓
39%
2.57
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.95 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo La Coruña II / FT Deportivo La Coruña II✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.79
–
Form
Deportivo La Coruña II – last 6
DWDLLW
20 Sep
@ Athletic Club II
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Ponferradina
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs Cacereño
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Mérida AD
0–1
L
5 Aug
vs Real Madrid II
0–1
L
3 May
@ Real Ávila
4–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Real Unión – last 6
DLWWDW
19 Sep
vs Mirandes
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Racing Ferrol
2–3
L
5 Sep
@ Unionistas de Salamanca
4–2
W
30 Aug
vs CD Coria
4–1
W
8 Aug
vs Eibar
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ PAU
2–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo La Coruña II and Real Unión.
What is the prediction for Deportivo La Coruña II vs Real Unión?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Deportivo La Coruña II vs Real Unión?
On our numbers Deportivo La Coruña II have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Real Unión 37%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo La Coruña II vs Real Unión?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo La Coruña II vs Real Unión?
Our predicted score is Deportivo La Coruña II 1–1 Real Unión, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Deportivo La Coruña II vs Real Unión?
Deportivo La Coruña II vs Real Unión (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Abanca-Riazor.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
