Value bet: Athletic Club II to win @ 2.60 – our chance 47% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAthletic Club II to win ✓47% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.87
Arenas Getxo vs Athletic Club II preview and prediction
The match
Athletic Club II travel to Estadio Municipal de Fadura in the Primera División RFEF Group 1 on Saturday 26 September (17:45 WAT) to face Arenas Getxo. Arenas Getxo are 19th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Athletic Club II sit 9th on 15 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Arenas Getxo's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Cacereño 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Athletic Club II's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Deportivo La Coruña II 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Athletic Club II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished Athletic Club II 1–1 Arenas Getxo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.3 for Arenas Getxo and 1.7 for Athletic Club II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arenas Getxo 33%, draw 21%, Athletic Club II 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Athletic Club II to win at 2.60 – 47% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Arenas Getxo 1–1 Athletic Club II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arenas Getxo33%fair 3.08 · @2.35
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.30
Athletic Club II47%fair 2.15 · @2.60
2.99Expected goals
1.33Arenas Getxo xG
1.66Athletic Club II xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
1–07%
From our goals model: Arenas Getxo 1.3 – 1.7 Athletic Club II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Arenas Getxo vs Athletic Club II?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Arenas Getxo vs Athletic Club II?
On our numbers Arenas Getxo have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Athletic Club II 47%.
How many goals will there be in Arenas Getxo vs Athletic Club II?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arenas Getxo vs Athletic Club II?
Our predicted score is Arenas Getxo 1–1 Athletic Club II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Arenas Getxo vs Athletic Club II?
Arenas Getxo vs Athletic Club II (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Fadura.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
