Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Pontevedra to win @ 1.67 – our chance 66% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPontevedra to win ✓66% · @1.67
Double chancePontevedra or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.78
Pontevedra vs Arenas Getxo preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División RFEF Group 1 sees Pontevedra take on Arenas Getxo on Saturday 5 September, kicking off at 17:45 (WAT). Pontevedra are 3rd with 18 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Arenas Getxo sit 19th on 11 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Pontevedra's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Real Avilés 1–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Arenas Getxo's last 5: DLLDW Most recently they drew with Racing Ferrol 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 April 2026, finished Arenas Getxo 1–0 Pontevedra.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Pontevedra and 0.5 for Arenas Getxo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely.
Value angle: Pontevedra to win at 1.67 – 66% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Pontevedra 1–0 Arenas Getxo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pontevedra66%fair 1.52 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.40
Arenas Getxo12%fair 8.39 · @4.50
2.00Expected goals
1.54Pontevedra xG
0.45Arenas Getxo xG
46%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
2–016%
0–014%
1–110%
3–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Pontevedra 1.5 – 0.5 Arenas Getxo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Pontevedra vs Arenas Getxo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Pontevedra vs Arenas Getxo?
On our numbers Pontevedra have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Arenas Getxo 12%.
How many goals will there be in Pontevedra vs Arenas Getxo?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pontevedra vs Arenas Getxo?
Our predicted score is Pontevedra 1–0 Arenas Getxo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Pontevedra vs Arenas Getxo?
Pontevedra vs Arenas Getxo (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
