Sporting Gijon vs Celta de Vigo II prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Sporting Gijon to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSporting Gijon to win ✓61% · @1.55
Double chanceSporting Gijon or draw ✓84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.58
Sporting Gijon vs Celta de Vigo II preview and prediction
The match
Celta de Vigo II travel to El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini in the Segunda División on Sunday 4 October (15:15 WAT) to face Sporting Gijon. Sporting Gijon are 7th with 22 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Celta de Vigo II sit 16th on 13 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Sporting Gijon's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Oviedo 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Celta de Vigo II's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Sabadell 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Sporting Gijon and 0.6 for Celta de Vigo II. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sporting Gijon 61%, draw 23%, Celta de Vigo II 16%.
Safer route: Sporting Gijon or draw (84%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sporting Gijon to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Sporting Gijon 1–0 Celta de Vigo II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting Gijon61%fair 1.65 · @1.55
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.90
Celta de Vigo II16%fair 6.17 · @5.00
2.14Expected goals
1.52Sporting Gijon xG
0.62Celta de Vigo II xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Sporting Gijon 1.5 – 0.6 Celta de Vigo II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting Gijon to win✓
61%
1.65
1.55
Double chance
Sporting Gijon or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting Gijon / FT Sporting Gijon✓
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.58
–
Form
Sporting Gijon – last 6
LWLLWW
27 Sep
@ Oviedo
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ FC Andorra
3–1
W
13 Sep
vs Eldense
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Girona
0–2
L
28 Aug
@ Tenerife
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs Burgos
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Celta de Vigo II – last 6
DLLWLW
26 Sep
vs Sabadell
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Almeria
0–2
L
14 Sep
vs Eibar
0–4
L
5 Sep
@ AD Ceuta FC
2–0
W
31 Aug
vs Castellón
1–2
L
24 Aug
vs FC Andorra
4–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting Gijon and Celta de Vigo II.
What is the prediction for Sporting Gijon vs Celta de Vigo II?
Our pick is Sporting Gijon to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Sporting Gijon vs Celta de Vigo II?
On our numbers Sporting Gijon have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Celta de Vigo II 16%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Gijon vs Celta de Vigo II?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Gijon vs Celta de Vigo II?
Our predicted score is Sporting Gijon 1–0 Celta de Vigo II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Sporting Gijon vs Celta de Vigo II?
Sporting Gijon vs Celta de Vigo II (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time) at El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
