Segunda División · Spain · Estadi MontiliviGirona vs Mallorca prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Girona 1.2 – 1.1 Mallorca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Girona and Mallorca on our numbers – 41% for the home side, 35% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Girona have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.2 per game. Mallorca have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.2 for Girona, 1.1 for Mallorca). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 60%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (12%), 0–1 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Girona have won 0, Mallorca have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 60% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.67 is close to our fair price of 1.68.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Girona to win ✗ | 41% | 2.45 | 2.25 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 60% | 1.68 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 68% | 1.46 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.72 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.19 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Girona / FT Girona ✗ | 22% | 4.48 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.54 | – |
Form
Girona – last 6
| 25 Sep | vs Albacete | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Cadiz | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Castellón | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Sporting Gijon | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Las Palmas | 5–2 | W |
| 21 Aug | @ Cordoba | 1–2 | L |
Mallorca – last 6
| 27 Sep | vs Almeria | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Real Sociedad II | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs Sabadell | 2–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Eldense | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Aug | vs AD Ceuta FC | 3–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | @ Granada CF | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
| 1 May 2026 | Girona v Mallorca | 0–1 |
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 13 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |  Castellón | 12 | +18 | 27 |
| 3 |  Burgos | 13 | +5 | 24 |
| 4 |  Eibar | 12 | +7 | 23 |
| 5 |  Granada CF | 12 | +6 | 23 |
| 6 |  Mallorca | 12 | +8 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sporting Gijon | 13 | -1 | 22 |
| 8 |  Girona | 13 | +10 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 13 | +3 | 21 |
| 10 |  Las Palmas | 13 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 |  Cordoba | 13 | 0 | 19 |
| 12 |  Valladolid | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sabadell | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 13 | -6 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 13 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 |  Real Sociedad II | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 18 |  Leganes | 13 | -12 | 12 |
| 19 |  FC Andorra | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 13 | -11 | 10 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 13 | -20 | 5 |
More Segunda División predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Girona vs Mallorca?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Girona vs Mallorca?
On our numbers Girona have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mallorca 35%.
How many goals will there be in Girona vs Mallorca?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Girona vs Mallorca?
Girona vs Mallorca (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Montilivi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.