Segunda División · Spain · Gran CanariaLas Palmas vs Valladolid prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.77 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Las Palmas 1.4 – 1.1 Valladolid expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Las Palmas hold the edge on home soil with a 46% chance of winning, against 32% for Valladolid.
Las Palmas have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.7 per game. Valladolid have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.4 for Las Palmas, 1.1 for Valladolid). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (9%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 56% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.75 is close to our fair price of 1.77.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Las Palmas to win ✗ | 46% | 2.19 | 2.15 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 56% | 1.77 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.38 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 53% | 1.90 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 74% | 1.35 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.31 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Las Palmas / FT Las Palmas ✗ | 26% | 3.87 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.10 | – |
Form
Las Palmas – last 6
| 27 Sep | @ Eibar | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Burgos | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Cadiz | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Sep | vs Leganes | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Aug | @ Girona | 2–5 | L |
| 22 Aug | @ AD Ceuta FC | 2–0 | W |
Valladolid – last 6
| 27 Sep | vs Cordoba | 3–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ AD Ceuta FC | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Oviedo | 0–3 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs FC Andorra | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | @ Cadiz | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | @ Eibar | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Las Palmas and Valladolid.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 13 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |  Castellón | 12 | +18 | 27 |
| 3 |  Burgos | 13 | +5 | 24 |
| 4 |  Eibar | 12 | +7 | 23 |
| 5 |  Granada CF | 12 | +6 | 23 |
| 6 |  Mallorca | 12 | +8 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sporting Gijon | 13 | -1 | 22 |
| 8 |  Girona | 13 | +10 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 13 | +3 | 21 |
| 10 |  Las Palmas | 13 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 |  Cordoba | 13 | 0 | 19 |
| 12 |  Valladolid | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sabadell | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 13 | -6 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 13 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 |  Real Sociedad II | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 18 |  Leganes | 13 | -12 | 12 |
| 19 |  FC Andorra | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 13 | -11 | 10 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 13 | -20 | 5 |
More Segunda División predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Las Palmas vs Valladolid?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Las Palmas vs Valladolid?
On our numbers Las Palmas have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Valladolid 32%.
How many goals will there be in Las Palmas vs Valladolid?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Las Palmas vs Valladolid?
Las Palmas vs Valladolid (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Gran Canaria.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.