Castellón host AD Ceuta FC in the Segunda División on Sunday 4 October, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal Castalia. Castellón are 2nd with 27 points from 12 games (in the top four), while AD Ceuta FC sit 22nd on 5 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Castellón's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Leganes 2–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
AD Ceuta FC's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Real Sociedad II 3–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Castellón arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 May 2026, finished AD Ceuta FC 1–1 Castellón.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.2 for Castellón and 0.6 for AD Ceuta FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Castellón 74%, draw 16%, AD Ceuta FC 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Castellón to win – a 74% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Castellón 2–0 AD Ceuta FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Castellón74%fair 1.35 · @1.22
Draw16%fair 6.11 · @6.00
AD Ceuta FC10%fair 10.31 · @10.00
2.79Expected goals
2.17Castellón xG
0.62AD Ceuta FC xG
55%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–015%
1–013%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
3–16%
From our goals model: Castellón 2.2 – 0.6 AD Ceuta FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC?
Our pick is Castellón to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC?
On our numbers Castellón have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 16% and AD Ceuta FC 10%.
How many goals will there be in Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC?
Our predicted score is Castellón 2–0 AD Ceuta FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC?
Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Castalia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
