Value bet: Sporting Gijon to win @ 3.80 – our chance 34% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOviedo to win ✓41% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.50
Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División sees Oviedo take on Sporting Gijon on Sunday 27 September, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Nuevo Carlos Tartiere. Oviedo are 9th with 21 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Sporting Gijon sit 7th on 22 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Oviedo's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Sabadell 1–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sporting Gijon's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat FC Andorra 3–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 0.8 for Oviedo and 0.7 for Sporting Gijon. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Sporting Gijon to win at 3.80 – 34% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Oviedo 0–0 Sporting Gijon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Oviedo41%fair 2.43 · @2.00
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.00
Sporting Gijon34%fair 2.98 · @3.80
1.50Expected goals
0.81Oviedo xG
0.69Sporting Gijon xG
49%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–022%
1–018%
0–115%
1–112%
2–07%
0–25%
From our goals model: Oviedo 0.8 – 0.7 Sporting Gijon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oviedo to win✓
41%
2.43
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
57%
1.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
29%
3.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.50
–
Form
Oviedo – last 6
LWDWLD
20 Sep
@ Sabadell
1–3
L
13 Sep
@ Valladolid
3–0
W
6 Sep
vs Burgos
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Albacete
1–0
W
22 Aug
vs Leganes
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs Granada CF
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sporting Gijon – last 6
WLLWWD
19 Sep
@ FC Andorra
3–1
W
13 Sep
vs Eldense
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Girona
0–2
L
28 Aug
@ Tenerife
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs Burgos
1–0
W
17 Aug
vs Sabadell
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oviedo and Sporting Gijon.
What is the prediction for Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon?
On our numbers Oviedo have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sporting Gijon 34%.
How many goals will there be in Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon?
Our predicted score is Oviedo 0–0 Sporting Gijon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon?
Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Nuevo Carlos Tartiere.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
