Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Eibar to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultEibar to win ✓58% · @1.95
Double chanceEibar or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.12
Eibar vs Las Palmas preview and prediction
The match
Las Palmas travel to Ipurua Municipal Stadium in the Segunda División on Sunday 27 September (17:30 WAT) to face Eibar. Eibar are 4th with 23 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Las Palmas sit 10th on 20 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Eibar's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Eldense 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Las Palmas's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Burgos 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Eibar arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 March 2026, finished Eibar 3–1 Las Palmas.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Eibar and 0.9 for Las Palmas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Eibar 58%, draw 21%, Las Palmas 21%.
Safer route: Eibar or draw (79%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Eibar to win at 1.95 – 58% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Eibar or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Eibar 1–0 Las Palmas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Eibar58%fair 1.73 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.30
Las Palmas21%fair 4.83 · @4.00
2.65Expected goals
1.74Eibar xG
0.91Las Palmas xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Eibar 1.7 – 0.9 Las Palmas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Eibar or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Eibar vs Las Palmas?
On our numbers Eibar have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Las Palmas 21%.
How many goals will there be in Eibar vs Las Palmas?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Eibar vs Las Palmas?
Our predicted score is Eibar 1–0 Las Palmas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Eibar vs Las Palmas?
Eibar vs Las Palmas (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Ipurua Municipal Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
