Segunda División · Spain · Estadi Mallorca Son MoixMallorca vs Almeria prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.79 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Mallorca 1.1 – 0.9 Almeria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Mallorca hold the edge on home soil with a 47% chance of winning, against 32% for Almeria.
Mallorca have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.3 per game. Almeria have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.0 goals (1.1 for Mallorca, 0.9 for Almeria). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 0–0 (14%), 1–1 (13%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 56% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.75 is close to our fair price of 1.79.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Mallorca to win ✗ | 47% | 2.13 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 59% | 1.68 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.48 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.17 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 50% | 2.01 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Mallorca / FT Mallorca ✗ | 24% | 4.18 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.47 | – |
Form
Mallorca – last 6
| 19 Sep | @ Real Sociedad II | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs Sabadell | 2–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Eldense | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Aug | vs AD Ceuta FC | 3–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | @ Granada CF | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | vs Valladolid | 2–0 | W |
Almeria – last 6
| 20 Sep | vs Celta de Vigo II | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Cordoba | 2–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Cadiz | 3–2 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Sabadell | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Aug | @ Tenerife | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Aug | vs Eldense | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mallorca and Almeria.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 13 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |  Castellón | 12 | +18 | 27 |
| 3 |  Burgos | 13 | +5 | 24 |
| 4 |  Eibar | 12 | +7 | 23 |
| 5 |  Granada CF | 12 | +6 | 23 |
| 6 |  Mallorca | 12 | +8 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sporting Gijon | 13 | -1 | 22 |
| 8 |  Girona | 13 | +10 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 13 | +3 | 21 |
| 10 |  Las Palmas | 13 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 |  Cordoba | 13 | 0 | 19 |
| 12 |  Valladolid | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sabadell | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 13 | -6 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 13 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 |  Real Sociedad II | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 18 |  Leganes | 13 | -12 | 12 |
| 19 |  FC Andorra | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 13 | -11 | 10 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 13 | -20 | 5 |
More Segunda División predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Mallorca vs Almeria?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Mallorca vs Almeria?
On our numbers Mallorca have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Almeria 32%.
How many goals will there be in Mallorca vs Almeria?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Mallorca vs Almeria?
Mallorca vs Almeria (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.