Value bet: Tenerife to win @ 2.74 – our chance 42% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTenerife to win ✗42% · @2.74
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.59
Real Sociedad II vs Tenerife preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División sees Real Sociedad II take on Tenerife on Saturday 5 September, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Estadio Zubieta. Real Sociedad II are 17th with 12 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Tenerife sit 14th on 15 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Real Sociedad II's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Burgos 2–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Tenerife's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Sporting Gijon 0–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Tenerife arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Real Sociedad II and 1.3 for Tenerife. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Sociedad II 34%, draw 24%, Tenerife 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Tenerife to win at 2.74 – 42% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Real Sociedad II 1–1 Tenerife. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Sociedad II34%fair 2.95 · @2.58
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.15
Tenerife42%fair 2.40 · @2.74
2.40Expected goals
1.12Real Sociedad II xG
1.28Tenerife xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Real Sociedad II 1.1 – 1.3 Tenerife expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tenerife to win✗
42%
2.40
2.74 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tenerife / FT Tenerife✗
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.59
–
Form
Real Sociedad II – last 6
DWLLLL
31 Aug
@ Burgos
2–2
D
22 Aug
@ Albacete
2–1
W
14 Aug
vs Castellón
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Zaragoza
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs Huesca
0–2
L
29 Jul
vs Eibar
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tenerife – last 6
LWWDWD
28 Aug
vs Sporting Gijon
0–1
L
23 Aug
vs Almeria
1–0
W
16 Aug
@ Eibar
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ Leganes
0–0
D
4 Aug
vs Tamaraceite
3–2
W
1 Aug
vs Cadiz
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Sociedad II and Tenerife.
What is the prediction for Real Sociedad II vs Tenerife?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Real Sociedad II vs Tenerife?
On our numbers Real Sociedad II have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tenerife 42%.
How many goals will there be in Real Sociedad II vs Tenerife?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Sociedad II vs Tenerife?
Our predicted score is Real Sociedad II 1–1 Tenerife, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Real Sociedad II vs Tenerife?
Real Sociedad II vs Tenerife (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Zubieta.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
