Value bet: Mallorca to win @ 2.10 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMallorca to win ✗54% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.99
Eldense vs Mallorca preview and prediction
The match
Mallorca travel to Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat in the Segunda División on Saturday 5 September (20:00 WAT) to face Eldense. Eldense are 15th with 14 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Mallorca sit 6th on 22 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Eldense's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Leganes 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Mallorca's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat AD Ceuta FC 3–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mallorca arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.0 for Eldense and 1.6 for Mallorca. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Eldense 25%, draw 22%, Mallorca 54%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Mallorca to win at 2.10 – 54% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Eldense 0–1 Mallorca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Eldense25%fair 4.07 · @3.45
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.30
Mallorca54%fair 1.87 · @2.10
2.53Expected goals
0.96Eldense xG
1.58Mallorca xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–112%
0–210%
1–29%
0–08%
1–08%
From our goals model: Eldense 1.0 – 1.6 Mallorca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mallorca to win✗
54%
1.87
2.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mallorca / FT Mallorca✗
31%
3.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.99
–
Form
Eldense – last 6
LDLLLL
29 Aug
@ Leganes
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Cadiz
2–2
D
17 Aug
@ Almeria
0–3
L
7 Aug
@ Albacete
0–1
L
4 Aug
vs Villarreal II
1–3
L
1 Aug
@ Real Murcia
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Mallorca – last 6
WLWDWW
30 Aug
vs AD Ceuta FC
3–0
W
24 Aug
@ Granada CF
0–2
L
15 Aug
vs Valladolid
2–0
W
8 Aug
vs SV Elversberg
1–1
D
5 Aug
vs Paris Saint Germain
3–0
W
30 Jul
vs Al-Ittihad FC
4–2
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Eldense and Mallorca.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Eldense vs Mallorca?
On our numbers Eldense have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mallorca 54%.
How many goals will there be in Eldense vs Mallorca?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Eldense vs Mallorca?
Our predicted score is Eldense 0–1 Mallorca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Eldense vs Mallorca?
Eldense vs Mallorca (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
