Value bet: Sporting Gijon to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGirona to win ✓38% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.78
Sporting Gijon vs Girona preview and prediction
The match
Girona travel to face Sporting Gijon in the Segunda División on Saturday 5 September (15:15 WAT). Sporting Gijon are 7th with 22 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Girona sit 8th on 21 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sporting Gijon's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Tenerife 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Girona's last 5: WLDDD Most recently they beat Las Palmas 5–2 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Sporting Gijon and 1.2 for Girona. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Sporting Gijon to win at 2.88 – 38% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Sporting Gijon 1–1 Girona. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting Gijon38%fair 2.66 · @2.88
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.10
Girona38%fair 2.62 · @2.30
2.33Expected goals
1.16Sporting Gijon xG
1.17Girona xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Sporting Gijon 1.2 – 1.2 Girona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Girona to win✓
38%
2.62
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Girona / FT Girona✓
20%
4.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.78
–
Form
Sporting Gijon – last 6
WWDLLL
28 Aug
@ Tenerife
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs Burgos
1–0
W
17 Aug
vs Sabadell
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Valladolid
2–4
L
7 Aug
@ Racing Santander
1–4
L
1 Aug
@ Gimnástica Torrelavega
0–5
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Girona – last 6
WLDDDL
29 Aug
vs Las Palmas
5–2
W
21 Aug
@ Cordoba
1–2
L
16 Aug
vs Leganes
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Gimnastic
1–1
D
7 Aug
vs Sabadell
2–2
D
1 Aug
vs Arsenal
1–4
L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting Gijon and Girona.
What is the prediction for Sporting Gijon vs Girona?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Sporting Gijon vs Girona?
On our numbers Sporting Gijon have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Girona 38%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Gijon vs Girona?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Gijon vs Girona?
Our predicted score is Sporting Gijon 1–1 Girona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Sporting Gijon vs Girona?
Sporting Gijon vs Girona (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
