Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Almeria to win @ 2.54 – our chance 45% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlmeria to win ✗45% · @2.54
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.72
Sabadell vs Almeria preview and prediction
The match
Almeria travel to Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta in the Segunda División on Saturday 29 August (16:00 WAT) to face Sabadell. Sabadell are 13th with 18 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Almeria sit 1st on 29 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Sabadell's last 5: DDWDD Most recently they drew with Castellón 0–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Almeria's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Tenerife 0–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 0.7 for Sabadell and 1.0 for Almeria. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sabadell 32%, draw 23%, Almeria 45%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Almeria to win at 2.54 – 45% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 83% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.20, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sabadell 0–0 Almeria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sabadell32%fair 3.08 · @2.82
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.10
Almeria45%fair 2.22 · @2.54
1.71Expected goals
0.74Sabadell xG
0.97Almeria xG
46%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–018%
0–117%
1–013%
1–113%
0–28%
1–26%
From our goals model: Sabadell 0.7 – 1.0 Almeria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Almeria to win✗
45%
2.22
2.54 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.67 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.72
–
Form
Sabadell – last 6
DDWDDD
23 Aug
@ Castellón
0–0
D
17 Aug
@ Sporting Gijon
0–0
D
9 Aug
@ Olot
3–0
W
7 Aug
@ Girona
2–2
D
1 Aug
@ FC Andorra
0–0
D
25 Jul
@ Espanyol
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Almeria – last 6
LWWWLL
23 Aug
@ Tenerife
0–1
L
17 Aug
vs Eldense
3–0
W
7 Aug
@ Cordoba
4–0
W
4 Aug
@ Al-Nassr
2–0
W
1 Aug
@ Real Betis
0–1
L
29 Jul
@ Granada CF
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sabadell and Almeria.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sabadell vs Almeria?
On our numbers Sabadell have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Almeria 45%.
How many goals will there be in Sabadell vs Almeria?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sabadell vs Almeria?
Our predicted score is Sabadell 0–0 Almeria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Sabadell vs Almeria?
Sabadell vs Almeria (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
