Segunda División · Spain · Estadio Municipal de ButarqueLeganes vs Eldense prediction & analysis
Leganes or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Leganes to win @ 1.90 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Leganes 1.7 – 0.8 Eldense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Leganes hold the edge on home soil with a 59% chance of winning, against 18% for Eldense.
Leganes have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.5 per game. Eldense have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded. Leganes come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.7 for Leganes, 0.8 for Eldense). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Leganes or draw at a 82% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.23. For a bigger price, Leganes to win at 1.90 is our value angle (59% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Leganes to win ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.90 ▲ |
| Double chance | Leganes or draw ✓ | 82% | 1.23 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 54% | 1.84 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 71% | 1.40 | 1.33 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.88 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.28 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 42% | 2.36 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Leganes / FT Leganes ✗ | 36% | 2.77 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✓ | 14% | 7.37 | – |
Form
Leganes – last 6
| 22 Aug | @ Oviedo | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | @ Girona | 1–1 | D |
| 8 Aug | vs Tenerife | 0–0 | D |
| 7 Aug | vs Mérida AD | 3–0 | W |
| 4 Aug | vs Al-Rayyan SC | 2–1 | W |
| 1 Aug | @ Swansea | 0–1 | L |
Eldense – last 6
| 22 Aug | vs Cadiz | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Aug | @ Almeria | 0–3 | L |
| 7 Aug | @ Albacete | 0–1 | L |
| 4 Aug | vs Villarreal II | 1–3 | L |
| 1 Aug | @ Real Murcia | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Jul | vs Al-Ettifaq | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leganes and Eldense.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 13 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |  Castellón | 12 | +18 | 27 |
| 3 |  Burgos | 13 | +5 | 24 |
| 4 |  Eibar | 12 | +7 | 23 |
| 5 |  Granada CF | 12 | +6 | 23 |
| 6 |  Mallorca | 12 | +8 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sporting Gijon | 13 | -1 | 22 |
| 8 |  Girona | 13 | +10 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 13 | +3 | 21 |
| 10 |  Las Palmas | 13 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 |  Cordoba | 13 | 0 | 19 |
| 12 |  Valladolid | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sabadell | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 13 | -6 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 13 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 |  Real Sociedad II | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 18 |  Leganes | 13 | -12 | 12 |
| 19 |  FC Andorra | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 13 | -11 | 10 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 13 | -20 | 5 |
More Segunda División predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Leganes vs Eldense?
Our pick is Leganes or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Leganes vs Eldense?
On our numbers Leganes have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Eldense 18%.
How many goals will there be in Leganes vs Eldense?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Leganes vs Eldense?
Leganes vs Eldense (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Butarque.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.