Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Oviedo to win @ 3.15 – our chance 44% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +39%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultOviedo to win ✓44% · @3.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓15% · fair 6.71
Albacete vs Oviedo preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División sees Albacete take on Oviedo on Saturday 29 August, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Estadio Carlos Belmonte. Albacete are 21st with 10 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Oviedo sit 9th on 21 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Albacete's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Real Sociedad II 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Oviedo's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Leganes 0–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Oviedo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.9 for Albacete and 1.1 for Oviedo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Albacete 33%, draw 23%, Oviedo 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Oviedo to win at 3.15 – 44% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Albacete 0–1 Oviedo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Albacete33%fair 3.07 · @2.35
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.10
Oviedo44%fair 2.26 · @3.15
2.02Expected goals
0.90Albacete xG
1.12Oviedo xG
54%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
1–113%
0–013%
1–012%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Albacete 0.9 – 1.1 Oviedo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oviedo to win✓
44%
2.26
3.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oviedo / FT Oviedo✓
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
15%
6.71
–
Form
Albacete – last 6
LLDWLL
22 Aug
vs Real Sociedad II
1–2
L
16 Aug
@ Las Palmas
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs Real Murcia
1–1
D
7 Aug
vs Eldense
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Levante
1–2
L
31 Jul
vs Real Madrid II
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Oviedo – last 6
LDWLWD
22 Aug
vs Leganes
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs Granada CF
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Le Havre
3–2
W
1 Aug
@ 1. FC Nürnberg
1–2
L
29 Jul
vs Ponferradina
4–0
W
25 Jul
vs Deportivo La Coruna
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Albacete and Oviedo.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Albacete vs Oviedo?
On our numbers Albacete have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Oviedo 44%.
How many goals will there be in Albacete vs Oviedo?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Albacete vs Oviedo?
Our predicted score is Albacete 0–1 Oviedo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Albacete vs Oviedo?
Albacete vs Oviedo (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Belmonte.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
