Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Oviedo to win @ 1.87 – our chance 64% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOviedo to win ✗64% · @1.87
Double chanceOviedo or draw ✗86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗24% · fair 4.15
Oviedo vs Leganes preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División sees Oviedo take on Leganes on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere. Oviedo are 9th with 21 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Leganes sit 18th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Oviedo's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Granada CF 0–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Leganes's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Girona 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.3 for Oviedo and 0.4 for Leganes. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Oviedo 64%, draw 21%, Leganes 14%.
Safer route: Oviedo or draw (86%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Oviedo to win at 1.87 – 64% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Oviedo 1–0 Leganes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Oviedo64%fair 1.56 · @1.87
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.10
Leganes14%fair 6.96 · @4.70
1.70Expected goals
1.32Oviedo xG
0.38Leganes xG
48%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–024%
0–018%
2–016%
1–19%
0–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Oviedo 1.3 – 0.4 Leganes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oviedo to win✗
64%
1.56
1.87 ▲
Double chance
Oviedo or draw✗
86%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.50
1.65 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oviedo / FT Oviedo✗
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
24%
4.15
–
Form
Oviedo – last 6
DWLWDL
15 Aug
vs Granada CF
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Le Havre
3–2
W
1 Aug
@ 1. FC Nürnberg
1–2
L
29 Jul
vs Ponferradina
4–0
W
25 Jul
vs Deportivo La Coruna
0–0
D
17 May
vs Alaves
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Leganes – last 6
DDWWLL
16 Aug
@ Girona
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Tenerife
0–0
D
7 Aug
vs Mérida AD
3–0
W
4 Aug
vs Al-Rayyan SC
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Swansea
0–1
L
28 Jul
@ Real Madrid
1–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oviedo and Leganes.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Oviedo vs Leganes?
On our numbers Oviedo have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Leganes 14%.
How many goals will there be in Oviedo vs Leganes?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oviedo vs Leganes?
Our predicted score is Oviedo 1–0 Leganes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Oviedo vs Leganes?
Oviedo vs Leganes (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
