Segunda División · Spain · Estadio Carlos BelmonteAlbacete vs Real Sociedad II prediction & analysis
Albacete or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Albacete to win @ 1.81 – our chance 66% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Albacete 1.8 – 0.6 Real Sociedad II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Albacete are clear favourites at home with a 66% chance of winning, against 14% for Real Sociedad II.
Albacete have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2 per game. Real Sociedad II have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.8 for Albacete, 0.6 for Real Sociedad II). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 53%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (16%), 2–0 (14%), 1–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Albacete have won 1, Real Sociedad II have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Albacete or draw at a 86% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is better than our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Albacete to win at 1.81 is our value angle (66% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Albacete to win ✗ | 66% | 1.51 | 1.81 ▲ |
| Double chance | Albacete or draw ✗ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.90 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | 1.25 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.91 | 2.00 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | 1.40 |
| Half-time result | Albacete ahead at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.22 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Albacete / FT Albacete ✗ | 41% | 2.45 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 16% | 6.19 | – |
Form
Albacete – last 6
| 16 Aug | @ Las Palmas | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Aug | vs Real Murcia | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Aug | vs Eldense | 1–0 | W |
| 1 Aug | @ Levante | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Jul | vs Real Madrid II | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Jul | @ Leganes | 0–0 | D |
Real Sociedad II – last 6
| 14 Aug | vs Castellón | 0–1 | L |
| 8 Aug | @ Zaragoza | 1–2 | L |
| 1 Aug | vs Huesca | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Jul | vs Eibar | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Jul | vs PAU | 4–0 | W |
| 30 May | vs Cultural Leonesa | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 24 May 2026 | Albacete v Real Sociedad II | 3–1 |
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 13 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |  Castellón | 12 | +18 | 27 |
| 3 |  Burgos | 13 | +5 | 24 |
| 4 |  Eibar | 12 | +7 | 23 |
| 5 |  Granada CF | 12 | +6 | 23 |
| 6 |  Mallorca | 12 | +8 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sporting Gijon | 13 | -1 | 22 |
| 8 |  Girona | 13 | +10 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 13 | +3 | 21 |
| 10 |  Las Palmas | 13 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 |  Cordoba | 13 | 0 | 19 |
| 12 |  Valladolid | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sabadell | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 13 | -6 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 13 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 |  Real Sociedad II | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 18 |  Leganes | 13 | -12 | 12 |
| 19 |  FC Andorra | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 13 | -11 | 10 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 13 | -20 | 5 |
More Segunda División predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Albacete vs Real Sociedad II?
Our pick is Albacete or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Albacete vs Real Sociedad II?
On our numbers Albacete have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Real Sociedad II 14%.
How many goals will there be in Albacete vs Real Sociedad II?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Albacete vs Real Sociedad II?
Albacete vs Real Sociedad II (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Belmonte.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.