Segunda División · Spain · Estadio Nuevo Pepico AmatEldense vs Cadiz prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Cadiz to win @ 3.30 – our chance 32% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Eldense 1.1 – 0.9 Cadiz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Eldense hold the edge on home soil with a 44% chance of winning, against 32% for Cadiz.
Eldense have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (1W 0D 5L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.2 per game. Cadiz have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. Cadiz come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.0 goals (1.1 for Eldense, 0.9 for Cadiz). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 0–0 (14%), 1–1 (13%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 81% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.24. For a bigger price, Cadiz to win at 3.30 is our value angle (32% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Eldense to win ✗ | 44% | 2.28 | 2.32 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.88 | 1.77 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.38 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 81% | 1.24 | 1.25 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Eldense / FT Eldense ✗ | 23% | 4.41 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.60 | – |
Form
Eldense – last 6
| 17 Aug | @ Almeria | 0–3 | L |
| 7 Aug | @ Albacete | 0–1 | L |
| 4 Aug | vs Villarreal II | 1–3 | L |
| 1 Aug | @ Real Murcia | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Jul | vs Al-Ettifaq | 3–1 | W |
| 22 Jul | @ Valencia | 0–3 | L |
Cadiz – last 6
| 15 Aug | vs Celta de Vigo II | 0–0 | D |
| 5 Aug | vs Granada CF | 2–0 | W |
| 1 Aug | @ Tenerife | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Jul | vs AD Ceuta FC | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Jul | vs Leicester | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Jul | @ Orlando Pirates | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Eldense and Cadiz.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 13 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |  Castellón | 12 | +18 | 27 |
| 3 |  Burgos | 13 | +5 | 24 |
| 4 |  Eibar | 12 | +7 | 23 |
| 5 |  Granada CF | 12 | +6 | 23 |
| 6 |  Mallorca | 12 | +8 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sporting Gijon | 13 | -1 | 22 |
| 8 |  Girona | 13 | +10 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 13 | +3 | 21 |
| 10 |  Las Palmas | 13 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 |  Cordoba | 13 | 0 | 19 |
| 12 |  Valladolid | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sabadell | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 13 | -6 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 13 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 |  Real Sociedad II | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 18 |  Leganes | 13 | -12 | 12 |
| 19 |  FC Andorra | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 13 | -11 | 10 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 13 | -20 | 5 |
More Segunda División predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Eldense vs Cadiz?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Eldense vs Cadiz?
On our numbers Eldense have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cadiz 32%.
How many goals will there be in Eldense vs Cadiz?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Eldense vs Cadiz?
Eldense vs Cadiz (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.